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42 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
John Naisbitt: Megatrends

Look at powerpoint pages

Faith Popcorn

Brain Reserve (Marketing consultancy) in 1974



The Popcorn Report (1991)




“Cocooning” (a stay-at-home syndrome building in 1981)

Cocooning

(a stay-at-home syndrome building in 1981) had repercussions in multiple industries (e.g., home renovation, master bedroom suite, larger baths, casual, comfortable basic fashion, bed linens, housewares, car with portable phones and elaborate sound systematic.)

Counter Trend

Look at picture

Stan Davis: Understanding a Blurred World
-Increasing speed in communication and computation are shrinking time.

- Connectivity and online access are eliminating distance as a barrier.


-Tangible attributes less important than intangible values.

Mass customization

-Coined by Davis in 1987



- The process of using mass production techniques to create and deliver customized goods and services

Chris Anderson:


The Long Tail of the Demand Curve



Time frame: Decades



Techniques for gathering signals:


Interviewing Experts --> Internet business CEOs




Gaining access to proprietary data from high-profile Internet-based companies




Methods to interpret the signals:


- Plotted the data—sales on the vertical axis and stock ranked by popularity on the horizontal axis— and hypothesized about resulting pattern




Range of the forecasts:


- Applies to online marketing

Chris Anderson Continued

“The trick to trend-spotting is to ask the right people.”



Anderson, using his skills as a journalist:


-Interviewed both CEOs of Internet businesses and academics doing related research


-Examined data and discovered a repeating pattern


-Looked for additional examples


-Gave his insight a catchy name—“the long tail” to catch people’s attention (Anderson, 2006)

Environmental Scanning

Research Strategies:


1- Media Scan


2-Interviewing (asking people, ask experts)


•Focus group interview


•In-depth interview


•Delphi method (anonymous)


- Identify the experts


- Introduce an issue for debate


- Round one-obtain initial response fromexperts


- Summarize the responses


- Report on round one & initiate roundtwo - Report on round two & initiate roundthree


3-Observation

Trend Folders: Reviewing, Organizing, and Editing

-The new, novel, and innovative

-The unusual


-The rediscovered and redesigned


-Shifts in the workplace


-New shopping locations


-Unique peopleInteresting neighborhoods




•Tenmajor topics


•Includeboth objective and subjective viewpoints


•Includeintuitive categories—those where the meaning is yet clear or where connectionsare subtle

Color Forecasting

-color as a marketing tool

-the process of forecasting color, taking into account color evolution, social and economic trends, consumer preferences, and other influences


-color forecasting as a coordinating factor in the apparel supply chain from fiber producer to retailer


-the methods forecasters use to analyze and synthesize color direction from various sources in the cultural environment

Color in Marketing

-the most important aesthetic criterion for preference of many aesthetic forms, including apparel (Eckman, Damhorst, & Kadolph, 1990)

-an element of design used in building and maintaining brand identity


-identify target markets

Color Preferences

-Universal view

-Cultural/Ethnic influence


- Individual differences

Color Symbolism

may be due to Associated meanings with natureSeemingly arbitrary social convention

Color Cycles

Two types:

-Periodic shifts in color preferences


-Patterns of repetition in popular colors




Both depend on the mechanism of boredom—people get tired of what they have and seek something new

Evolution of a color family

Color Family:


Yellow-Green




•“Avocado” and “olive”(late 1960s-1970s) •Defined as bad taste by the 1980s


•Reemerged as “kiwi” and “lime” (by 1995) •“Wasabi” (2000-)

What do Color Forecasters do?

-Combine knowledge of color theories with understanding of human behavior and acute observational skills

- Produce a color forecast 18 to 24 months in advance of the season


-Provide input for the designer’s decisions

Color Research

Environmental Factors:


■Economic conditions (e.g., 1930s--gray, subdued greens, blues)


■Social change


■Cultural shifts (art, literature, music etc.)■New technology




Consumer Segment: Target Market-


Demographic, Geographic, Psychographic Variables (e.g., age, education, lifestyles, values, and attitudes)

Color Association of the United States

-Founded in 1915 (The Textile Color Card Association of America)

-First forecasted women’s wear in 1917; men’s wear in the 1960s; home furnishing in the 1970s; children’s wear and active wear in the 1980s


-The women’s committee meets 2 times each year and select 25-42 colors; bring color boards; for a specific market


- Members receive the forecast for one product category each season as a deck of silk screened color cards; a monthly newsletter; invitation to seminars; consultation; access to research materials

Color Marketing Group

International nonprofit association based in Washington D.C.


-Formed in 1962




-The panel meets in the winter and summer to develop apparel palettes. Eight weeks prior to the workshops, members mail in color samples and individual color direction forecast




-Membersparticipate in expert panels and workshops; receive four color palettes a year, a monthly news letters; access to the color library

More on Color Research

Key calendar dates:

-Seasonal runway shows


-Textile trade shows




Première Vision, an international textile industry fair, held twice a year in Paris

Color Research Cont.

Color relationships across product categories:

-Fashion


-Beauty products


-Interiors


-Entertainment


-Automobiles




When does a signal indicate a trend?


-Consider it a strong directional signal when the same trend is visible during the same time period from multiple sources (Eiseman, 1994).






Color Direction: Inclination or tendency toward change in


-Color temperature (warmer/cooler)


-Value (lighter/darker)


-Intensity (clearer/grayer)Importance of a hue (in/out)




A new color is “directional” when it is trend setting or trend defining


-Color palette

-Hue


-Intensity


-Value


-Color specifications


- Munsell color system


-Pantone color system

Look at this

Innovation in Textile Development

Technical or Performance Fabrics: High-tech fabrics with novel properties (e.g., Licra spandex by DuPont; A yarn with vitamin C)



Developmental Fabrics: New fabrics proposed by firms and trade organizations that have special characteristics, appearance, or properties.



Intelligent textiles: Fabrics that change performance characteristics in response to the environment (e.g., protect the wearer from heat or cold)




Wired garments: Clothing that incorporates electronic technologies (e.g., garment with a cell phone or CD player)




Electrotextiles: Wired garments where every thread can transmit electrical signals



Digital Printing

-Print design prepared on the computer and printed using inkjet technology

-Used to create accessories, short yardages for design approval, and customized products

Novelty Fabrics

*

Fabric Fairs and Trade Shows

-Apparel manufacturers looking for new sources of innovative fabrics

- Designers looking for inspiration for their next collection


-Forecasters


- The fashion press

Fabric Fairs and Trade Shows


Premiere Vision, Expofil, Pitti Filati

Première Vision, Paris (First Look)

-- The most comprehensive and influential show


-- Held in Paris, in February and September


-- 18 months ahead of the selling season


-- Highlights the season’s direction in weaves, colors, patterns, and surface treatments






Expofil


-- An European yarn fair held in Paris, biannual


-- The earliest view (15 months ahead)


-- Linked with Premiere Vision since 2004


-- Publishes the color range, an interactive CD ROM and a trend book


-- Attendees receive a color, fabric, and trend forecast developed in consultation with other trade fairs, fiber producers, forecasting services (Trends Union, PromoStyl)






Pitti Filati


-- A showcase for Italian spinners’ natural and synthetic yarns and blends


-- Held in July and January in Florence


-- Features a research area with multimedia presentations on the trends, complemented by a display of yarns and stitches


-- Focuses on high-end yarns (merino wool, cashmere etc.).)

Fabric Fairs and Trade Shows Cont:


Tex world, Interstoff Asia Essential, Material World, MAGIC

TexWorld:

-- Run concurrently with Premiere Vision


-- Features less expensive textiles




Interstoff Asia Essential:


-- Held twice yearly in Hong Kong


-- Focuses on innovative fabrics, particularly functional fabrics, eco textiles, etc.





Material World:


-- Held in Miami


-- Showcases yarn, fabric, trim, and information technology


-- Help companies with sourcing and production




MAGIC :


-- Sourcing for fabric and print source


-- Held in Las Vegas


-- For original graphics and prints






Fabric fairs:


- in Italy




Textile Shows in U.S.


- European Textile Selection Show (ETS) -International Fashion Fabric Exhibition (IFFE)


-Los Angeles International Textile Show


-GlobalTex

Fabric Libraries

Season’s Fabrics by:

-Styling


-End use


-Fiber content


-Color range


-Manufacturer




Cotton Works:




Tag Sale- about 300,000 pieces (swatches and vintage clothing); Michael Kors, Ralph Lauren, J.Crew; Asian, Paisleys,Animals, Etc.




T.D.G ( Textile Design Group): 4 Million Swatches




Andrea Aranow Textile Documents: Museum-quality designs




Vintage Loft: beading and embroideries

The three modern eras in fashion: Lipovetsky

Look at Ch 7 Powerpoint

Ready to wear Revolution

1960's




-Cult of youth + cult of the body



- Emphasis on individual expression and novelty




-Two-tiered fashion system—couture and RTW




-Designer names: brand names

Style Tribe

-Modern fashion is the distinction of “Belong to” a group, a cluster of like-minded people



-Adopting an appearance style: A marker of membership in a style tribe

"Triple Logic" (Lipovetsky 1994)

-The logic of aesthetics

-The logic of industrial clothing manufacturing


-The logic of consumers acting on individual taste

Fashion Weeks

Fashion Off the Runway:

-Showrooms


-Boutiques


-Trade Shows

Fashion Weeks: ready to wear

-New York

-London


- Milan


- Paris

Street Fashion

-Directional locales

- Fashion scouts


- Trade shows of small firms specializing in street styles

Vintage Fashion

New york & Los Angeles

Trial Balloons

items, styles, or looks with which designers experiment to gauge the effect and potential of a new idea

Trend Analysis





Dissecting a phenomenon to achieve a more completeunderstanding of its components
Trend Synthesis
Creative reintegration of the parts

Fashion Forecasting Process

An accurate reading of the trend:



- Match trend with the consumer.


-Match trend with:


the product category,price point,retail concept.



Hypothesis about what it will take to energize and accelerate the flow of the trend across consumer segments.