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83 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

Why is the study of waiting lines important in running a business? Especially in America?

first come, first serve



if a company favors one person, everyone else gets offended because we think the company doesn't see us as equal

How do you make a customer happy?

short lines

what is the cost of waiting to a customer?

their time

what is the cost to the company for keeping lines short?

money

waiting line goals

find the proper balance between long lines/unhappy customers and idle staff/high cost

waiting line system diagram

rectangle = business

rectangle = business

balking is...

the line alone scared them away before they actually enter the business

reneging is...

they got in line, but decided to leave because the line was taking too long

finite pool (how many potential customers)

few potential customers; every customer in the store significantly decreases the chance of another customer arriving



ex: retail store that sells jumbo jet airplanes

infinite pool (how many potential customers)

many potential customers; odds barely affected by new arrivals



ex: mcDonalds

type of customers (degree of variability)

  • prepared/unprepared customer
  • big/small orders
  • high/low maintenance customers
  • paying cash vs check

arrival rates (degree of variability)

  • steady stream of customers?
  • busy and slow time periods?
  • busy and slow days of the week?
  • seasonal trends?

single line

first come, first served (FCFS); sense of fairness

multiple lines

line jumping or jockeying

1st come, 1st served (priority discipline rules)

served in order you arrive in; better system overall

earliest due date or shortest processing time (priority discipline rules)

homework?

reservations or appointments possible (priority discipline rules)

restaurants, homework

emergency situations (priority discipline rules)

emergency rooms

preemptive discipline (priority discipline rules)

special rules; VIP lines, frequent fliers

lambda

lambda

mean arrival rate

mu

mu

mean service rate

always set up you rates this way

numerator = customers, cars, reports



denominator = sec, min, hrs, days

rho

rho

= lambda / mu



percentage of time a server is busy

ns =

average number of customers in the system

ts=

average time spent in the system

nl=

average length of queue

tl=

average time spent in queue

n=

customers

t=

time

l=

line or queue

s=

system

Pn=

(1-p)p^n



probability of EXACTLY n customers in the system



only works for single line single server model*



used in gambling

what is the probability of FEWER than 4 in the system? example

p0+p1+p2+p3

probability of 4 OR LESS in the system?

P0+P1+p2+p3+p4

probability of MORE THAN 4 in the system?

1- (P0+P1+p2+p3+p4)

1- (P0+P1+p2+p3+p4)

system measures illustration

probability of 4 OR MORE in the system

1-(P0+P1+p2+p3)

2 are in line, but 3 are in the system

why are lines so long at DMV, post office, and amusement parks?

there is no incentive to improve (government)



amusement parks have no competition

manager of taget salary starts at...

125,000

people pick grocery stores based on what department?

produce - because everything else is fairly generic

what departments are almost always on the perimeter of grocery stores?

liquor, produce, flowers, meat, milk, bakery, and deli

what are the 2 most profitable departments in a grocery store?

  1. meat
  2. produce

why are the milk (not including cheese and butter) and bakery departments usually in the corners of the store?

because people get these items most often; exposes consumers to the whole store

facilitating goods are...

items that need to be kept in inventory to maintain operations



ex: plates, utensils, etc

What is VMI?

vendor managed inventory - inventory planning and replenishment system where supplier (vendor) accepts negotiated responsibilities that typically include monitoring and restocking

value to vendor and retailer of VMI

  • common goal - end customer is the focus
  • learning opportunities - vendor and retailer learn about each other and their needs; vendor has more interactions with end customers in the retail environment
  • retailer - fewer responsibilities; decreases costs
  • vendor - better understanding of demand rates, fewer retailer errors; responsive

VMI challenges

  • goal alignment
  • everything must be defined and discussed prior to arrangement
  • process related - different ways of getting things done
  • schedule related - when should things get done?
  • performance and quality related - metrics, motivation, discipline, reliability, consistency
  • people related - everyone must BUY-IN, culture clashes, equity issues, attire, professionalism
  • IT compatibility, sharing concerns


ex: if you tell all trucks to deliver between 6-10 and they all come at once, one may pull up out front and make a bad impression

upstream refers to...

in the direction of the suppliers

downstream refers to...

in the direction of the customer

back-end refers to...

out of sight (to customers)



ex: why you don't have product on the shelf - workers too lazy etc

front-end refers to...

visible to customers



ex: being rude to your customer

push system

push system

you buy a lot of materials, make a lot of computers, and send to the customer

push system advantages

  • high inventories - low ordering costs (less orders); quantity discounts; high customer service rates possible (less likely to run out of product)
  • shorter lead times (order placement to delivery time) - allows inventory to be closer to the customer; quicker delivery if required; decreases customer's need for safety stock
  • mistakes and defects tolerable - time to inspect; inventory can support returns

push system cons

  • high inventories - high holding costs and risk of obsolescence
  • low customization flexibility - items manufactured a long time ago, far away; less of an opportunity for customization; requires a static market
  • mistakes and defects tolerable - humans use any allowances provided; more waste, higher operational costs
  • forecasting miscalculations can be costly - demand high - shortages, lost revenue; demand low - high amounts of waste
pull system

pull system

  • is seen as a supply chain because you are supplying customer with what they need
  • pull system is a demand chain - they make only what you need
  • there is no inventory - have to hustle to get stuff to the customer quickly

pull system advantages

  • low inventories - low holding costs - fewer pipeline storage requirements; decreased handling, shrinkage, damage
  • demand driven system - make only what is required; minimizes waste - materials, labor, transportation
  • flexible manufacturing possible - higher customer satisfaction - specific needs, high performance; able to adapt to changes - market needs, technology, laws
  • closer supplier ties are developed - more efficient coordination; quality - higher performance items can be developed

pull system cons

  • low inventories - high ordering costs; lead times may be long - increase in supply chain anxiety (safety stock?)
  • risky customer service rates - vulnerable to: unexpected spikes in demand, seasonal demand, marketing errors, supply chain partner weaknesses/errors, labor utilization and labor contract issues
  • tougher sell? - high tech items require customer be educated; do display items/pics portray all options and variations?
  • forecasting miscalculations can be costly - demand high - does SC have available speed/capacity?; demand low - did you build too much capacity? sunk costs

2 outcomes possible:



  1. 1000 computers/month - too much, unacceptable ROI
  2. 50,000 computers/month - orders late, customers unhappy, missed opportunities, competition grows

Should you use a push or pull system?

the market should dictate your strategy



if it wants high customization, use pull



if the market is static, nothing changing, you should use push



neither is good unless you are using it in the right manner

old school vs new school philosophies

Lean manufacturing philosophy

  • a production philosophy that strives to meet consumer demand and desires but with minimal inventory levels and minimal SC waste
  • tend to be PULL oriented
  • AKA JIT or TPS

primary goals of Lean manufacturing: JIT philosophy

  • minimize inventory - inventory is evil - hides problems
  • eliminate all types of waste - quality control, 7 types of waste

managing lean manufacturing for the long-run

  • open communication flows required
  • intelligent and flexible HR
  • continuous improvement culture

why is lean manufacturing required in Japan?

because real estate costs are so high, they need to have a small EOQ for it to make sense

recap of supply chain basics

  1. focus on people
  2. competitive priorities
  3. measuring success
  4. maximize value
  5. productivity

focus on people (recap of supply chain basics)

good SC decisions positively impact customers, employees, and investors

competitive priorities (recap of supply chain basics)

good SCs deliver the right mix of cost, quality, speed, and flexibility to their target market

measuring success (recap of supply chain basics)

the best SCs are effective (great products), efficient (minimal resources/waste), and adaptable (ready for change; constantly evolving)

maximize value (recap of supply chain basics)

provide customers the best possible product and service bundle at the lowest possible cost and in the most convenient way

productivity (recap of supply chain basics)

maximize a company's high quality output using the fewest resources possible

8 SC processes

  1. product development and commercialization
  2. supplier relationship management
  3. manufacturing flow management
  4. demand management
  5. order fulfillment
  6. customer relationship management
  7. customer service management
  8. returns management

shrinkage formula

order size required = (actual demand) / (proportion of acceptable product per order)



(300) / (100% - 2%)



always round up; from retailer to supplier

square root rule - risk pooling

inventory future =


inventory present [(sqrt WH future) / sqrt WH present)]



ex: going from 4 to 2 warehouses:



inv future = 6000 [(sqrt 2) / (sqrt 4)]

Integration is...

the bringing together of groups that were separated in the hopes of seeing improvements

the bullwhip effect is...

a SC phenomenon where fairly stable demand results in a proliferation in the amount of inventory that is carried as one travels upstream in the SC

causes of the bullwhip effect

  1. order batching
  2. forward buying
  3. rationing
  4. shortage gaming

order batching (causes of the bullwhip effect)

when companies place large and infrequent orders from their suppliers; typically done to take advantage of quantity discounts and economies of scale in purchasing and delivery; creates communication gaps (uncertainty)

forward buying (causes of the bullwhip effect)

is the result of suppliers offering sales; buyers want to take advantage of low prices, but aren't buying based on demand, but rather on price; causes true demand to be unknown by suppliers

shortage gaming (causes of the bullwhip effect)

often caused by rationing; buyers often place larger orders than required bc they are afraid of being rationed

controlling the bullwhip effect (2 ways)

  1. every day low pricing (EDLP)
  2. vendor management inventory (VMI)

keys to lean manufacturing

  • high performance quality
  • consistent quality
  • quality at the source
  • continuous improvement
  • poka-yoke
  • close supplier ties
  • small lot sizes
  • standardized components and work methods
  • dedication to the workforce
  • using automation when appropriate
  • short setup/change-over

poka-yoke (keys to lean manufacturing)

mistake-proofing



5 wires connecting to different devices; solution is to make each wire have a different connector to the specific device