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68 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
Initial investment outlay..expansion |
FCInv(up front price including ship and instal) + NCWInv (invest in net working capital) |
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NWCinv ..expansion |
NWCInv = Δnon-cash current assets − Δnon-debt current liabilities |
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After tax operating cf for a project..expansion |
CF = (S − C − D)(1 − T) + D = (S − C)(1 − T) + (TD) where:S = salesC = cash operating costsD = depreciation expenseT = marginal tax rate |
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Terminal year after-tax non-operating cash flows (TNOCF)..expansion |
Terminal year after-tax non-operating cash flows (TNOCF). At the end of the asset’s life, there are certain cash inflows that occur. These are the after-tax salvage value and the return of the net working capital.TNOCF = SalT + NWCInv − T (SalT − BT)where:SalT = pre-tax cash proceeds from sale of fixed capitalBT = book value of the fixed capital sold |
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Replacement initial outlay |
FCInv + NWCInv - Sale old + T(sale old -Book0ld) |
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Replacement ocf |
(Change sales - change op costs) *(1-T) + (change in depreciation*T) |
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Replacement terminal |
(Sale new - sale old) + NWCInv - T (sale new - book new) - (sale old - book old) |
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Npv |
Find npv of initial outlay cf of each year + terminal |
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Mutually exclusive projects use for evaluation |
1 least common multiple of lives 2 EEA equiv annual annuity(find npv...if given rr, npv, years solve for payment on calculator) |
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Capital rationing |
Choose all projects company can afford with highest total NPV |
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Sensitivity and scenerio |
Sens changes 1 variable. Scenerio allows for changes in multiple inputs |
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Simulation analysis |
Probablility distribution of NPV project outcomes |
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Simultaion steps |
1 Assume probabiltiy distribution of each input variable 2 simulate random draw from distrubtion for each variable 3 calculate npv off inouts from step 2 4 repeat 2 and 3 10,000.times 5 calc mean, sd, correlation of NPV woth each inout variable 6 graph the 10k distributions |
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Beta is a systematic risk measure in capital budgeting ..in combo with CAPM is used to find discount rate |
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CAPM(SML) |
Rf + beta ( e(rMkt)-Rf) |
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Beta of a project is hurdle rate and should be used instead of company WACC |
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Abandonment options |
Allow mgmt to stop a project |
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Accounting and economic income alternatives to discounted cashflows |
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Economic income |
After tax cf plus change in investment market value |
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Accounting income |
Reported NI ..differs cause depreciation based on cost not market value..and finance charges are a sep line item and subtracted out not subtracted in wacc |
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Economic profit |
NOPAT-$WACC....NOPAT=EBIT*(1-T)...$WACC=WACC*CAPITAL=dollar cost of capital |
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MVA |
Econ profit/ 1+wacc^year |
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Residual income |
NI - equity charge. Which is(rr * beg BV) |
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Claims valuation approach |
Takes pv of princ and int payments for bondholders and pv of divs share repurchase for equity holders |
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Costs of Asymmetric info |
Mgrs have more info than investors...increases w use of more equity |
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Static trade off theory |
Balance costs of financial distress with tax shield benefits by using debt and states there is optimal proportion of debt |
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Theories of dividend policy |
1 div irrelevance-div have no affect on price of stock. 2 bird in hand- higher value on divs now then expected returns 3 tax aversion- if div taxed higher than cap gains theyd rather not have divs |
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Pecking order (asymetric ) |
Mgrs prefer financing that send least amt of signal...internal cap, debt, equity |
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Net agency costs..associated w conflict of interest of mgrs and owners = |
1 monitoring costs 2 bonding costs 3 residual losses |
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Eff tax rate on divs |
Corp tax rate +((1-corp tax rate)*ind tax rate))...same for split rate but use div tax rate instead of corp rate |
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Imputation tax on div |
If 30% corp tax and ind is in 20% bracket they would get a credit for the 10% |
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Expected increaae in divs |
(Expected earnings*target payout ratio) -prev divy) * adj factor...where adj factor is 1/#year adjustment will take place |
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Costant div payout policy |
Always pays out same % of earnings |
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Residual div model |
1 find optimal capital budget 2 find amt of equity needed to finance that budget 3 meet equoty requirements w retained earnings 4 pay divs with the residualbearnings that are left over |
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4 common methods to buy backbstock |
1 open market 2 fixed price tendor-pre determined amt ofnshares and price(shows more confidence than dutch) 3 dutch auction- companybsets price range (quicker than fixed) 4 repurchase by direct negotiation- from a major shareholder at a premium |
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If earnings yield is higher than cost of debt than a share repurchase with debt will increase eps |
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The following generalizations can be made with respect to global trends in corporate payout policies:A lower proportion of U.S. companies pay dividends compared to their European counterparts.Globally, in developed markets, the proportion of companies paying cash dividends has trended downwards over the long term.The percentage of companies making stock repurchases has been trending upwards in the United States since the 1980s and in the United Kingdom and continental Europe since the 1990s |
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FCFE cov ratio |
FCFE (includong net borrowing)/ div + share repurchases...shouldnt consistently be under 1 |
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Div coverage ratio |
Inverse of payout ratio |
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Stock div leave ratios unchanged. Retained earnings goes down and contributed cap goes up |
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Stakeholder impact analysis |
1. Ident relevant stakeholders 2 ident interest of each group 3 indet demands of each group 4 prioritize importance of stakeholders 5. Indetify the challenges these coflicts ofndemands pose |
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2 major objective corp gov |
1 reduce or eliminate conflict of interests 2 use assets in best interests ofbshareholders andnother stakeholders |
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Having separate ceo and board chairman is strong corp gov |
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Merger integration types. Statutory Subsidiary Consolidation |
1. Target no longer exists 2. Target becomes subsidiary 3. Neither continues to exist and new entity formed |
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Meger types Horizontal Vertical Conglomerate |
1. 2 busineeses in same industry 2. To move up or down supply chain in its current industry(fwd ice cream trying to buy restaraunt chain or bkwd ice cream trying to biy milknproducers) 3. Two companies with 2 separate industries |
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Bootsrapping eps |
A high eps buying a low p/eps and its p/e lowers but no economic value created |
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Hostile merger Bear hug Tender offer Proxy battle |
1 Acquirer goes to board 2 offer to buy directly from shareholders 3 acquirer seeks to gain control from shareholder approval |
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HHI |
<1k not conecnetrated...anti trust unlikely 1k to 1.8k moderately concentrated..merger may be challenged on anti trust if moves hhi over 100 >1.8k highly concentrated... merger may be challenged on anti trust if moves hhi over 50 |
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Pre merger HHI ...20 firms in industry, 5% market share |
HHI = 20 * (.05*100)^2...after meger for 19 and 20...18*(.05*100)^2 + (.1*100)^2 |
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Unlevered NI |
Ebit *(1-t)....can back into tax rate by dividing taxes by NI brefore tax |
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FCFF for corp fi |
NI + net interest after tax +- change in def tax (NOPLAT) +non cash charches - change in WC - CAPEX |
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Net interest after tax |
(Int expense -int income) *( 1-tax rate) |
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Terminal value constant growth |
Fcf *(1+g?) / (wacc adj - g) |
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Terminal 2nd method applies where analyst thinks stock will trade at at end of 1st stage |
FCFt * (p/fcf) |
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Steps to estimate value using DCF |
1. Determinenwhich fcf model...basic ones are 2 or 3 stage. 2 develop pro forma estimates 3. Find FCFF 4 discount FC using adjusted WACC 5 find terminal value and discount 6 add discounted FC and terminal |
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Takeover premium |
DP - SP / SP ..dp is deal price per share...sp is targets stock price |
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Valuing a merger target using company anlysis |
1 comps 2 calculate realtives (pe pb etc) of comparablea 3 find the avgerges of pe pb etc for the comparables 4 times comoanys eps by avg p/e of comparables and its bv by bv/s etc and take those avgs forr mean stock value 5 find the target price of the comps(dp-sp / sp) and take those avg to find the % premium to be paid on top of mean stock value from step 4
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Valuing a merger targtet using transaction anlysis |
1 find comps transactions 2 find pe pb etc of comp(ie eps / deal price per share) 3. Find avgs of pe pb etc 4 times targets eps by avg com pe pb etc and then take the Avg of these |
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All mergers the new company should be worth mire than the separate companies combined Vat= |
Va +Vt - s -c Va=val of acquirer Vt=target S=synergies created C=cash paid to target sholders |
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Cash offer target has less risk and reward Stock offer target has more risk more reward |
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Types of divestitures 1.equoty carve out 2 spin off 3 split off 4 Liquidation |
1. New company thatbhas an ipo 2 new company where current shareholders are distributed shares 3 shareholders get new shares in EXchange for shares in parent 4 break up company and sell off piece by piece |
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Monte carlo system/simulation analysis |
Results in a probabilty distribution of npv. Not just limited outcomes. |
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3 main factors when evaluating how cap structure affects value |
1 changes in cap structure over time 2 differences in cap structure to comp firms 3 company specific factors like corp gov that may impact agency costs |
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Ggm equity risk premium |
Div yield + LT earnings growth - LT gov bond yield |
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Division no longer fits Lack if prof |
1 parent unable to make profit or notbstrategic fit to long term. To focus on core. Sells tto firm who can utilize more effectively 2 return is less than cost of capital could be due to bad choice in 1st place ornrising costs |
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Audit committe should contain only independent board members |
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Board should asses self not by mgmt |
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Shares bought back*cost of shares * after tax cost of funds...subtract this from earningnin denominator when finding eps after a buyback |
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