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29 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

Rics says what about risk management?

Widely recognised as being concerned with both threat and opportunity

What does rics management of risk 2015 link directly to?

To Icms ipms and underpins them, will be mandatory soon

Rics definition of risk

An uncertain event or circumstance, that, if it occurs, will affect the outcome of a project/programme

Latham said?

No construction project is risk free. Risk can be managed, minimised, shared, transferred or accepted, it cannot be ignored

Risk should be considered at

All stages

How do you identify risks?

Facilitated workshops


Self assessment


Checklists


Organisation charts


Flow charts


Prompt lists

Risk analysis in bs 31010

Control analysis


Likelihood and consequence

Risk assessment is?

The overall process of risk identification, risk analysis and risk evaluation

After risk assessment comes?

Risk treatment leaving residual risk after being treated

Monitoring and tdviewing

Risks and controls should be monitored and reviewed

Risk register acts as

A control document and assists as a means of monitoring the management of risks through a project

Types of risk assessment

Qualitative and quantitative

Qualitative risk assessment

Checklists


Risk mapping

Quantitative assessment

Decision trees


Sensitivity analysis


Expected monetary value


Monte Carlo simulations

Wembley stadium

Max price contract d&b 326 million


Low bid 150 million loss. Failure to transfer risk cost them 430 million.


Stadium complete 18 months late. No flexibility for problem solving in contract

Heathrow term 5

4.3 billion


Built on time and budget


Highly innovative contracting system


Cm consultancy employed. Baa accepted all construction risks confront and manage risks early.


Terminal roof identified as a major risk (2.4 million) prototype paid for, cost and time savings achieved however 34 flights cancelled as staff not fsmiliar

Hinckley point will be nearly 10% more than expected cost to rise 1.5bn to 19.6bn.


Could be delayed by up to 15 months resulting in extra 700m costs

Cross rail overruns of over a billion mainly due to design changes and low initial bids

Nrm1 risks

Design development risks


Construction risks


Employer change risks


Employer other risks

Nrm1 defines risk as

The likelihood of an event or failure occurring and it’s consequences or impact

Risk analysis also brings benefit to?

Contractors

Procurement

Risk management and form of procurement are interlinked, optimum balance of risk, benefit and funding

Risk response strategies

Share - both have risk materials


Transfer - best value for money


Avoid - unacceptable level


Retain - residual risk


Reduce - value engineer

Controllable and uncontrollable risks

Controllable is curtain walking system


Uncontrollable can’t be controlled or influenced by participants ie legislation

Risk impact assessment

Likelihood and impact

Likelihood and impact equals

Risk severity

Methods of assessing risk under nrm1

Simple method of assessment


Probabilistic analysis


Sensitivity analysis

Risk cost calculated by

Percentage of base cost estimate. Sum of all four equals total risk allowance

Risk allowances must only be

Expended when the identified risks to which they relate occur

Inflation is another rusk

Tenet inflation construction inflation