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12 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
What is risk?
It is an uncertain event with a chance of a negative or positive consequence.
What is Risk Management?
It is the systematic process of identifying, analyzing and responding to project risks, includes maximizing the positive events and minimizing the negative. Sources of risks are too many and better be categorized
What are some sources of risks?

1. Weather


2. Unexpected site conditions


3. Personnel problems


4. Design errors


5. Delays


6. Financial


7. Strikes


8. Faulty materials


9. Faulty workmanship


10. Operational problems


11. Disaster/war


12. Ripple effects

What Risk Management is important?

Offers significant improvement to the final outcomes of the project by defining its strengths and weakness


Provides better chances of success


Improves the project quality and schedule and reduces its costs


Allows project team members to make better decisions

What are some Risk components/factors?

1. Risk event - what might happen to the determent of the project


2. Risk probability - likelihood of occurrence of the event


3. Risk impact - extent of loss or the amount at stake

What is Risk Assessment, Allocation and Assignment of Liability?

1. Understanding the project components


2. Identifying risks


3. Prioritizing risks


4. Quantifying risks


5. Planning risk responses


6. Monitoring and controlling risks

What is understand project components?

Defining project scope clearly-define its products and deliverables and identify its requirements


Develop a WBS-decompose the project deliverables into smaller and more manageable components

How to identify risk?

Risk Management meeting


Historical knowledge


Expert judgement


Brain storming


Risk Breakdown Structure

How to Prioritize Risks?

Ranking of the risks to assess for urgency


Pareto: 20% of the causes result in 80% of the grief


Determine the warming signs


Determine stakeholders tolerances and risk owners

How to Quantify Risks?

Conducting numerical analysis to determine the probability and impact of significant risks on the project objectives


Decision tree analysis


a technique that uses future events to the decision today making use of the Expected Monetary Value Principle


EMV = Risk event Probability x Risk event value


Modeling and Simulation


probabilistic models to compute uncertainties and reflect their potential impacts on the project objectives


Three point estimation, Monte Carlo Simulation Technique

What are some Plan Risk Responses?

Accept the risk - do nothing


Eliminate - can we? secondary risks


Avoid - conducting the job in a different way


Mitigate - minimize impact/probability


Transfer - subcontracting, insurance

How do you monitor and control risks?

Keeping track of the identified risks and those on the watch list


Reanalyzing existing risks


Watching for warning signs


Reviewing the execution of risk responses while evaluating their effectiveness